Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.324756 8.391294 9.575739 10.991561 12.641735 14.508823 16.787759
2025-02-09 6.056854 7.468678 9.168527 11.377043 14.186774 17.663354 22.323866
2025-02-16 5.026259 6.528481 8.444103 11.087092 14.671829 19.411312 26.229438
2025-02-23 4.370449 5.919808 7.989769 10.989912 15.280623 21.277254 30.435970
2025-03-02 3.870672 5.432880 7.604583 10.888436 15.806013 23.021062 34.640367
2025-03-09 3.453837 5.000678 7.227108 10.721946 16.173933 24.529218 38.645730
2025-03-16 3.090189 4.598950 6.838755 10.474226 16.358539 25.740169 42.302419
2025-03-23 2.949556 4.511884 6.904155 10.920331 17.668579 28.871370 49.564551
2025-03-30 2.758551 4.324095 6.788474 11.052975 18.464808 31.230108 55.809346
2025-04-06 2.552649 4.090644 6.573039 10.988918 18.905201 33.009362 61.234555
2025-04-13 2.361043 3.861655 6.340623 10.865350 19.215604 34.576004 66.461825
2025-04-20 2.269581 3.791123 6.365800 11.192664 20.374851 37.842629 75.536788
2025-04-27 2.164243 3.689799 6.332282 11.417496 21.383701 40.982729 84.940131
2025-05-04 2.100075 3.654702 6.411696 11.859658 22.865677 45.257921 97.520433
2025-05-11 1.937094 3.427371 6.121029 11.559541 22.821837 46.383449 103.214248
2025-05-18 1.816629 3.267928 5.941662 11.458081 23.171207 48.380169 111.264029
2025-05-25 1.706804 3.119278 5.769385 11.351856 23.494663 50.355517 119.592902
2025-06-01 1.598826 2.965530 5.574043 11.177544 23.647507 51.961144 127.267490
2025-06-08 1.490827 2.803482 5.349054 10.918206 23.579668 53.042716 133.766497
2025-06-15 1.468579 2.808366 5.457656 11.385254 25.221742 58.413458 152.780319
2025-06-22 1.413993 2.743967 5.419159 11.524142 26.110889 62.061122 167.709564
2025-06-29 1.343702 2.642237 5.294722 11.457068 26.496046 64.486348 179.573005
2025-07-06 1.272992 2.534561 5.149290 11.327686 26.712596 66.502949 190.610056